La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Nov 8 · 13:00 · Girona vs Deportivo Alavés
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Girona33%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Deportivo Alavés38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Girona
DrawWinLossDrawLoss
- Oct 31 · at Getafe (A)1-2
- Oct 25 · v Real Oviedo (H)3-3
- Oct 18 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v Valencia (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Espanyol (H)0-0
Deportivo Alavés
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Nov 2 · v Espanyol (H)2-1
- Oct 30 · at Getxo (A)7-0
- Oct 26 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)0-1
- Oct 20 · v Valencia (H)0-0
- Oct 5 · v Elche (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Girona | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.