La Liga (Spain) · Fri, Feb 14 · 20:00 · Girona vs Getafe
Likeliest: Girona win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Girona37%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Getafe33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Girona
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Feb 8 · at Athletic Club (A)0-3
- Feb 3 · v Las Palmas (H)2-1
- Jan 29 · v Arsenal (H)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)1-2
- Jan 22 · at Milan (A)0-1
Getafe
DrawWinDrawLossWin
- Feb 9 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)1-0
- Feb 4 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-5
- Feb 1 · v Sevilla (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)3-0
- Jan 18 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Girona | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-5 | 4-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 57% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.