La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Jan 18 · 13:00 · Girona vs Sevilla
Likeliest: Girona win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Girona36%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Sevilla35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Girona
Win
- Jan 11 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)1-0
Sevilla
LossDraw
- Jan 11 · v Valencia (H)1-1
- Jan 4 · at Almería (A)1-4