Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Aug 8 · 16:45 · Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Tilburg
Likeliest: Go Ahead Eagles win · 45%
A 28% away win. The market says 20%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Go Ahead Eagles45%57%−12
OursMarket
Draw27%23%+4
OursMarket
Willem II Tilburg28%20%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 60% | −8 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 80% | −9 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 43% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 74% | −13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Go Ahead Eagles
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- May 17 · at NEC Nijmegen (A)1-2
- May 10 · v PSV (H)1-4
- May 3 · at Sparta Rotterdam (A)2-2
- Apr 23 · v AZ (H)0-0
- Apr 11 · at FC Groningen (A)0-0
Willem II Tilburg
No recent results tracked.
| Last 10 games | Go Ahead Eagles | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 40% | — |
| Clean sheets | 50% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.