Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Thu, Oct 8 · 13:15 · Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
Likeliest: Gol Gohar Sirjan win · 47%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Gol Gohar Sirjan47%——
OursMarket
Draw33%——
OursMarket
Esteghlal Khuzestan20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 67% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 0.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Gol Gohar Sirjan
LossLossLossWinDraw
- Sep 15 · v Al-Jazira (H)0-0
- Sep 10 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)3-2
- Sep 5 · at Tractor FC (A)0-1
- Sep 1 · v Aluminium Arak (H)0-2
- Aug 28 · at Sepahan S.C. (A)0-2
Esteghlal Khuzestan
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Sep 10 · v Tractor FC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Sepahan S.C. (A)0-1
- Sep 1 · v Chador Malu Yazd (H)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Paykan (A)0-0
- Aug 23 · v Nassaji Mazandaran FC (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Gol Gohar Sirjan | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 10% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.