Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Fri, Oct 23 · 12:30 · Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad FC
Likeliest: Gol Gohar Sirjan win · 45%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Gol Gohar Sirjan45%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Kheybar Khorramabad FC24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Gol Gohar Sirjan
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · at Esteghlal FC (A)0-1
- Oct 14 · at Al-Muharraq (A)0-2
- Oct 8 · v Esteghlal Khuzestan (H)3-0
- Sep 15 · v Al-Jazira (H)0-0
- Sep 10 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)3-2
Kheybar Khorramabad FC
WinLossDrawDrawWin
- Oct 18 · v Esteghlal Khuzestan (H)2-1
- Oct 14 · v Persepolis FC (H)0-0
- Oct 9 · at Chador Malu Yazd (A)2-2
- Sep 7 · at Nassaji Mazandaran FC (A)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Foolad Khuzestan (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Gol Gohar Sirjan | Kheybar Khorramabad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 10% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.