Europa Conference League (Europe) · Thu, Aug 20 · 18:00 · Górnik Zabrze vs AS Monaco
Likeliest: Górnik Zabrze win · 50%
We make it 61% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Górnik Zabrze50%18%+32
OursMarket
Draw24%21%+3
OursMarket
AS Monaco27%61%−35
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 50% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 39% | +35 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 82% | −32 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 23% | +43 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Górnik Zabrze
DrawLossWinDrawWin
- Aug 16 · v Wisła Kraków (H)2-1
- Aug 13 · v Ferencváros TC (H)1-1
- Aug 8 · at Radomiak Radom (A)3-1
- Aug 5 · at Ferencváros TC (A)0-1
- Jul 28 · v Fenerbahçe (H)1-1
AS Monaco
No recent results tracked.
| Last 10 games | Górnik Zabrze | AS Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | — |
| Both teams scored | 60% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.