División Profesional (Bolivia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 19:00 · GV San José vs Blooming
Likeliest: GV San José win · 42%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
GV San José42%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Blooming29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
GV San José
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at CD Real Tomayapo (A)0-1
- Oct 12 · v Guabirá (H)4-1
- Sep 18 · at Bolívar (A)2-4
- Sep 12 · v Nacional Potosí (H)0-3
- Sep 5 · at Club Aurora (A)0-3
Blooming
LossWinDrawLossDraw
- Oct 17 · v Independiente Petrolero (H)0-0
- Oct 11 · at Bolívar (A)0-1
- Sep 17 · v FC Universitario de Vinto (H)1-1
- Sep 12 · v Academia del Balompié Boliviano (H)6-1
- Sep 7 · at Nacional Potosí (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | GV San José | Blooming |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-2 | 1-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.