Israeli Premier League (Israel) · Wed, Sep 2 · 17:00 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa
Likeliest: Hapoel Be'er Sheva win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. The market says 63%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hapoel Be'er Sheva63%63%0
OursMarket
Draw19%21%−2
OursMarket
Hapoel Haifa18%16%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 84% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | 37% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 80% | −2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Aug 29 · at Hapoel Ramat Gan Givataim (A)2-1
- Aug 25 · at Sabah FK (A)2-3
- Aug 19 · v Sabah FK (H)0-0
- Aug 11 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)2-0
- Aug 4 · v FK Crvena zvezda (H)1-0
Hapoel Haifa
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- Aug 29 · v Hapoel Tel Aviv (H)0-0
- May 18 · v Bnei Sakhnin (H)3-0
- May 13 · at Maccabi Netanya (A)1-1
- May 10 · v Ashdod (H)1-0
- May 3 · at Ironi Kiryat Shmona (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.