3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 11:00 · Harstad IL vs Alta IF
Likeliest: Harstad IL win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Harstad IL55%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Alta IF21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Harstad IL
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Oct 11 · at FK Fauske/Sprint (A)4-2
- Oct 4 · v Skedsmo (H)2-2
- Sep 27 · at Kongsvinger 2 (A)1-2
- Sep 19 · v Skjetten (H)3-1
- Sep 12 · v IL Ulfstind (H)6-1
Alta IF
LossWinWinWinWin
- Oct 10 · v Skjervøy (H)2-1
- Oct 3 · at IL Ulfstind (A)2-0
- Sep 27 · v Lillestrøm SK 2 (H)6-2
- Sep 21 · v Strømsgodset II (H)2-0
- Sep 16 · v Tromsø IL (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Harstad IL | Alta IF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-1-1 | 7-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-0 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.