Botola Pro (Morocco) · Mon, Oct 12 · 20:00 · Hassania d'Agadir vs AS FAR Rabat
Likeliest: AS FAR Rabat win · 47%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 47% for the away win. The market says 46%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hassania d'Agadir17%22%−4
OursMarket
Draw36%33%+3
OursMarket
AS FAR Rabat47%46%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 46% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 52% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 83% | 78% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 27% | 32% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hassania d'Agadir
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 8 · at Renaissance Zemamra (A)5-2
- Oct 3 · v MAS de Fès (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (A)3-2
- Jul 5 · v Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (H)1-1
- Jul 2 · at Raja Club Athletic (A)0-2
AS FAR Rabat
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Oct 8 · v Widad Temara (H)1-0
- Jul 5 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)0-0
- Jul 2 · at CODM Meknès (A)2-3
- Jun 28 · v Union Touarga Sport (H)2-2
- Jun 25 · at RS Berkane (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Hassania d'Agadir | AS FAR Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-1 | 0-4-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.