Botola Pro (Morocco) · Sat, Oct 3 · 16:00 · Hassania d'Agadir vs MAS de Fès
Likeliest: MAS de Fès win · 43%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hassania d'Agadir24%28%−4
OursMarket
Draw34%30%+3
OursMarket
MAS de Fès43%42%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 38% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 46% | 44% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 67% | 70% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hassania d'Agadir
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Sep 27 · at Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (A)3-2
- Jul 5 · v Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (H)1-1
- Jul 2 · at Raja Club Athletic (A)0-2
- Jun 28 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)1-1
- Jun 25 · at CODM Meknès (A)0-0
MAS de Fès
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Sep 27 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)2-1
- Sep 12 · at Rahimo FC (A)0-0
- Sep 6 · v Rahimo FC (H)4-1
- Jul 5 · v Olympique Dcheira (H)2-0
- Jul 2 · at Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Hassania d'Agadir | MAS de Fès |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.