3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 · Haugesund II vs FK Mandalskameratene
Likeliest: FK Mandalskameratene win · 49%
A 26% draw. The market says 21%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Haugesund II26%22%+4
OursMarket
Draw26%21%+5
OursMarket
FK Mandalskameratene49%58%−9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 51% | 42% | +9 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 78% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 79% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 35% | 27% | +7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Haugesund II
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 12 · v Åkra (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Stabæk Fotball II (A)1-4
- Sep 28 · v Hinna (H)2-4
- Sep 21 · at Madla (A)1-1
- Sep 12 · v Våg FK (H)0-3
FK Mandalskameratene
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 11 · v Stabæk Fotball II (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Åkra (A)4-0
- Sep 26 · v Odds BK II (H)4-0
- Sep 19 · at Vindbjart (A)1-0
- Sep 12 · v Flekkerøy (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Haugesund II | FK Mandalskameratene |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-3 | 4-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.