UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Aug 5 · 17:00 · HB Køge vs Riga FC
Likeliest: HB Køge win · 47%
A 26% draw. The market says 8%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
HB Køge47%88%−41
OursMarket
Draw26%8%+18
OursMarket
Riga FC27%4%+23
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 96% | −23 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 12% | +41 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 92% | −18 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 96% | −32 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
HB Køge
No recent results tracked.
Riga FC
WinWin
- Jul 25 · v Wrexham (H)4-1
- Jul 22 · at Glentoran Belfast United (A)4-1