Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 1 · 14:30 · Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
Likeliest: Borussia Dortmund win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heidenheim29%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Borussia Dortmund46%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 39% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heidenheim
WinDrawLossLoss
- Jan 25 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-2
- Jan 18 · v St. Pauli (H)0-2
- Jan 15 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-3
- Jan 11 · v FC Union Berlin (H)2-0
Borussia Dortmund
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Jan 29 · v Shakhtar Donetsk (H)3-1
- Jan 25 · v Werder Bremen (H)2-2
- Jan 21 · at Bologna (A)1-2
- Jan 17 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)0-2
- Jan 14 · at Holstein Kiel (A)2-4
| Last 10 games | Heidenheim | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 1-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 83% |
| Both teams scored | — | 83% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.