Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Mar 1 · 14:30 · Heidenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Likeliest: Heidenheim win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heidenheim42%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heidenheim
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Feb 23 · at RB Leipzig (A)2-2
- Feb 16 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)0-2
- Feb 13 · at FC København (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · at SC Freiburg (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)1-2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Feb 22 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-3
- Feb 15 · at FC Union Berlin (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Heidenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-5 | 3-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Heidenheim form·Borussia Mönchengladbach form·Head-to-head record