Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Jan 18 · 14:30 · Heidenheim vs St. Pauli
Likeliest: Heidenheim win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heidenheim43%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
St. Pauli28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heidenheim
WinDraw
- Jan 15 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-3
- Jan 11 · v FC Union Berlin (H)2-0
St. Pauli
LossLoss
- Jan 15 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)0-1
- Jan 11 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)0-1