Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:00 · Hellas Verona vs Atalanta
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hellas Verona31%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Atalanta41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hellas Verona
DrawLossLossDrawWin
- Feb 1 · at Monza (A)1-0
- Jan 27 · at Venezia (A)1-1
- Jan 19 · v Lazio (H)0-3
- Jan 12 · at Napoli (A)0-2
- Jan 4 · v Udinese (H)0-0
Atalanta
WinWinDrawDrawLoss
- Feb 4 · v Bologna (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 29 · at FC Barcelona (A)2-2
- Jan 25 · at Como (A)2-1
- Jan 21 · v Sturm Graz (H)5-0
| Last 10 games | Hellas Verona | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-2 | 2-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.