Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Mar 9 · 11:30 · Hellas Verona vs Bologna
Likeliest: Bologna win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hellas Verona30%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Bologna41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hellas Verona
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Mar 3 · at Juventus (A)0-2
- Feb 23 · v Fiorentina (H)1-0
- Feb 15 · at Milan (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Atalanta (H)0-5
- Feb 1 · at Monza (A)1-0
Bologna
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Mar 2 · v Cagliari (H)2-1
- Feb 27 · v Milan (H)2-1
- Feb 22 · at Parma (A)0-2
- Feb 14 · v Torino (H)3-2
- Feb 9 · at Lecce (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Hellas Verona | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-5 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 11% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-4-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.