Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 23 · 14:00 · Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina
Likeliest: Hellas Verona win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hellas Verona36%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Fiorentina35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hellas Verona
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Feb 15 · at Milan (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Atalanta (H)0-5
- Feb 1 · at Monza (A)1-0
- Jan 27 · at Venezia (A)1-1
- Jan 19 · v Lazio (H)0-3
Fiorentina
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Feb 16 · v Como (H)0-2
- Feb 10 · at Inter (A)1-2
- Feb 6 · v Inter (H)3-0
- Feb 2 · v Genoa (H)2-1
- Jan 26 · at Lazio (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Hellas Verona | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-4 | 3-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 14% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.