3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 · Heming vs Lokomotiv Oslo
Likeliest: Heming win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heming46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Lokomotiv Oslo27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heming
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Oct 17 · at Nordstrand (A)2-0
- Oct 13 · v KFUM Oslo II (H)2-2
- Oct 3 · at Konnerud IL (A)5-5
- Sep 26 · v Ullern (H)3-0
- Sep 19 · at Grei (A)4-1
Lokomotiv Oslo
LossWinLossWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Ready (H)3-1
- Oct 10 · v Konnerud IL (H)3-2
- Oct 3 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)1-4
- Sep 26 · v Gamle Oslo FK (H)4-1
- Sep 19 · at Nordstrand (A)0-5
| Last 10 games | Heming | Lokomotiv Oslo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.