KNVB Beker (Netherlands) · Tue, Feb 4 · 19:00 · Heracles Almelo vs FC Utrecht
Likeliest: FC Utrecht win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heracles Almelo36%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
FC Utrecht38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heracles Almelo
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Jan 31 · at NAC Breda (A)1-1
- Jan 28 · v FC Groningen (H)1-1
- Jan 24 · v FC Utrecht (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Almere City (A)2-0
- Jan 16 · at De Graafschap (A)2-0
FC Utrecht
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Feb 1 · at PEC Zwolle (A)3-3
- Jan 24 · at Heracles Almelo (A)1-1
- Jan 18 · v AZ (H)0-0
- Jan 15 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)2-1
- Jan 12 · at Feyenoord (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Heracles Almelo | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.