Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Mar 2 · 13:30 · Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle
Likeliest: Heracles Almelo win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heracles Almelo41%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
PEC Zwolle33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heracles Almelo
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Feb 16 · at Ajax (A)0-4
- Feb 8 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)4-2
- Feb 4 · v FC Utrecht (H)2-0
- Jan 31 · at NAC Breda (A)1-1
- Jan 28 · v FC Groningen (H)1-1
PEC Zwolle
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Feb 16 · v SC Heerenveen (H)1-1
- Feb 9 · at AZ (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · v FC Utrecht (H)3-3
- Jan 26 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)4-1
- Jan 18 · v PSV (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Heracles Almelo | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-1 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.