Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Nov 2 · 11:15 · Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle
Likeliest: Heracles Almelo win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Heracles Almelo53%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
PEC Zwolle22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Heracles Almelo
WinLossLossLossWin
- Oct 29 · at NAC Breda (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · at FC Volendam (A)0-3
- Oct 18 · v Feyenoord (H)0-7
- Oct 5 · at FC Twente (A)1-2
- Sep 27 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)3-0
PEC Zwolle
LossLossDrawDrawWin
- Oct 28 · at Helmond Sport (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · v NEC Nijmegen (H)2-2
- Oct 18 · at NAC Breda (A)2-2
- Oct 4 · v PSV (H)0-4
- Sep 27 · at FC Volendam (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Heracles Almelo | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-8 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-5 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.