Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Jan 11 · 15:30 · Heracles Almelo vs Sparta Rotterdam

    Likeliest: Heracles Almelo win · 39%

    A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Heracles Almelo39%——
    OursMarket
    Draw26%——
    OursMarket
    Sparta Rotterdam36%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X64%——
    Double chance X261%——
    Double chance 1274%——
    Draw no bet (home)52%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Every match we have priced today