3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:30 · Herd vs Strindheim
Likeliest: Strindheim win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Herd19%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Strindheim58%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 25% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Herd
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Nardo (A)0-11
- Oct 9 · v Spjelkavik (H)2-1
- Oct 2 · at Molde FK II (A)2-6
- Sep 26 · v FK Kvik (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Byasen Toppfotball (A)1-6
Strindheim
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Orkla (H)7-0
- Oct 12 · v Rosenborg BK II (H)5-1
- Oct 3 · at Nardo (A)1-0
- Sep 26 · v Molde FK II (H)10-0
- Sep 19 · at Volda (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Herd | Strindheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 9-1-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.5 | 0.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-2 | 4-2-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.