Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Sun, Sep 20 · 19:00 · HFX Wanderers FC vs York United FC
Likeliest: HFX Wanderers FC win · 62%
A tight one: we make it 62% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
HFX Wanderers FC62%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
York United FC20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.6 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
HFX Wanderers FC
LossWinLossLossWin
- Sep 12 · at FC Supra Du Quebec (A)2-0
- Sep 7 · v Cavalry FC (H)1-3
- Aug 30 · at Pacific FC (A)3-4
- Aug 22 · v Vancouver FC (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · at York United FC (A)3-4
York United FC
DrawLossDrawDrawWin
- Sep 13 · v Vancouver FC (H)3-1
- Sep 9 · v Pacific FC (H)3-3
- Sep 5 · at Forge FC (A)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)1-2
- Aug 23 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | HFX Wanderers FC | York United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-3 | 0-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.