V-League (Vietnam) · Fri, Oct 23 · 10:00 · Hoàng Anh Gia Lai vs Sông Lam Nghệ An
Likeliest: Hoàng Anh Gia Lai win · 36%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hoàng Anh Gia Lai36%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Sông Lam Nghệ An36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hoàng Anh Gia Lai
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at Phù Đổng Ninh Bình (A)3-4
- Oct 10 · v SHB Đà Nẵng (H)3-0
- Sep 13 · v Hải Phòng (H)1-3
- Sep 6 · at Nam Định (A)0-4
- Jun 7 · at Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 (A)1-3
Sông Lam Nghệ An
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · at Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (A)2-2
- Oct 11 · v Hồ Chí Minh City (H)1-1
- Sep 12 · at Hà Nội (A)4-1
- Sep 6 · v Bắc Ninh FC (H)1-0
- Jun 7 · v PVF-CAND (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Hoàng Anh Gia Lai | Sông Lam Nghệ An |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.