Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Feb 9 · 14:30 · Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum 1848
Likeliest: Holstein Kiel win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Holstein Kiel44%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
VfL Bochum 184829%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Holstein Kiel
LossWinLossDrawLoss
- Feb 1 · at FC Bayern München (A)3-4
- Jan 24 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)2-2
- Jan 18 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)1-3
- Jan 14 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)4-2
- Jan 11 · at SC Freiburg (A)2-3
VfL Bochum 1848
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v SC Freiburg (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)0-3
- Jan 18 · v RB Leipzig (H)3-3
- Jan 15 · v St. Pauli (H)1-0
- Jan 11 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Holstein Kiel | VfL Bochum 1848 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-3 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.