League One (England) · Sat, Oct 10 · 14:00 · Huddersfield Town vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Huddersfield Town win · 54%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. The market says 53%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Huddersfield Town54%53%+1
OursMarket
Draw25%24%0
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday22%23%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 70% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Huddersfield Town
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 6 · v Rochdale (H)5-0
- Oct 3 · at Burton Albion (A)3-1
- Sep 19 · at Bromley (A)1-2
- Sep 12 · at Mansfield Town (A)0-0
- Sep 8 · at Doncaster Rovers (A)3-1
Sheffield Wednesday
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Oct 6 · v Sunderland U21 (H)2-0
- Sep 22 · at Salford City (A)2-1
- Sep 19 · v Stockport County (H)0-0
- Sep 12 · v Wigan Athletic (H)0-0
- Sep 5 · at Peterborough United (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Huddersfield Town | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.