Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 12:30 · Hull City vs Portsmouth
Likeliest: Hull City win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hull City53%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Portsmouth21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hull City
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Nov 4 · at Derby County (A)1-2
- Nov 1 · at Norwich City (A)2-0
- Oct 25 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Oct 21 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at Birmingham City (A)3-2
Portsmouth
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Nov 5 · v Wrexham (H)0-0
- Nov 1 · at Birmingham City (A)0-4
- Oct 25 · v Stoke City (H)0-1
- Oct 21 · v Coventry City (H)1-2
- Oct 18 · at Leicester City (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Hull City | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.