Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 21 · 12:30 · Hull City vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Hull City win · 41%
We make it 56% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 48%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hull City41%41%0
OursMarket
Draw24%29%−5
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers35%29%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 48% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 54% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 71% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 58% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hull City
WinWinDrawLossLoss
- Feb 13 · v Chelsea (H)0-4
- Feb 7 · v Bristol City (H)2-3
- Feb 3 · v Watford (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
- Jan 24 · v Swansea City (H)2-1
Queens Park Rangers
DrawLossWinDrawLoss
- Feb 14 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-3
- Feb 6 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Jan 31 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
- Jan 24 · v Wrexham (H)2-3
- Jan 20 · at Oxford United (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Hull City | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 1-5-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.