Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 21 · 15:00 · Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Hull City win · 63%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hull City63%67%−4
OursMarket
Draw19%20%−1
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday18%13%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 50% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 87% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | 33% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | 84% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hull City
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Mar 14 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-3
- Mar 10 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Mar 7 · v Millwall (H)1-3
- Mar 3 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-1
- Feb 28 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Mar 14 · v Ipswich Town (H)0-2
- Mar 10 · v Watford (H)1-1
- Mar 7 · at Derby County (A)1-2
- Feb 28 · v Southampton (H)1-3
- Feb 25 · at Norwich City (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Hull City | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 0-1-9 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 0-1-9 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.