Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 15:00 · Hull City vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Hull City win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Hull City57%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Stoke City20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hull City
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Jan 24 · at Sheffield United (A)3-0
- Jan 21 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at Millwall (A)1-0
- Jan 4 · v Leeds United (H)3-3
- Jan 1 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
Stoke City
DrawDrawDrawLossDraw
- Jan 25 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-3
- Jan 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 4 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-0
- Jan 1 · at Burnley (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Hull City | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 0-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.