Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 20 · 15:00 · Hull City vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Hull City win · 53%
A 53% home win. The market says 33%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Hull City53%33%+19
OursMarket
Draw23%28%−5
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion25%39%−14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 51% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 61% | +14 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 67% | −19 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 46% | +22 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Hull City
LossWinLossWinWin
- Dec 13 · at Millwall (A)3-1
- Dec 10 · v Wrexham (H)2-0
- Dec 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-4
- Nov 29 · at Stoke City (A)2-1
- Nov 25 · v Ipswich Town (H)0-2
West Bromwich Albion
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Dec 12 · v Sheffield United (H)2-0
- Dec 9 · at Southampton (A)2-3
- Dec 6 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-3
- Nov 29 · v Swansea City (H)3-2
- Nov 26 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Hull City | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 2-0-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Hull City form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record