Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Thu, Oct 22 · 18:00 · Huracán Reserve vs Boca Juniors Reserve
Likeliest: draw · 39%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 39% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Huracán Reserve30%——
OursMarket
Draw39%——
OursMarket
Boca Juniors Reserve30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 61% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.7 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Huracán Reserve
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Oct 13 · at CA Independiente Reserve (A)0-3
- Oct 6 · v Atletico Rafaela Reserve (H)1-0
- Sep 30 · at Platense Reserve (A)0-0
- Sep 22 · at San Lorenzo Reserve (A)2-0
- Sep 16 · v Quilmes Reserve (H)1-0
Boca Juniors Reserve
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 15 · v Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve (H)1-0
- Oct 8 · v Colón Reserve (H)1-0
- Oct 1 · at CA Independiente Reserve (A)1-2
- Sep 25 · at River Plate Reserve (A)0-0
- Sep 17 · v Atletico Rafaela Reserve (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Huracán Reserve | Boca Juniors Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 2-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.