3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 18 · 11:30 · IL Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm SK 2
Likeliest: Lillestrøm SK 2 win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
IL Ulfstind23%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Lillestrøm SK 251%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 31% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
IL Ulfstind
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Oct 9 · at Finnsnes IL (A)2-2
- Oct 3 · v Alta IF (H)0-2
- Sep 26 · at Skedsmo (A)0-7
- Sep 19 · v Bossekop (H)3-4
- Sep 12 · at Harstad IL (A)1-6
Lillestrøm SK 2
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 11 · at Tromsø IL II (A)0-2
- Oct 4 · v Strømsgodset II (H)3-3
- Sep 27 · at Alta IF (A)2-6
- Sep 20 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)2-4
- Sep 14 · at Skedsmo (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | IL Ulfstind | Lillestrøm SK 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-8 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-0-4 | 1-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.