División Profesional (Bolivia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 23:30 · Independiente Petrolero vs Academia del Balompié Boliviano
Likeliest: Independiente Petrolero win · 47%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Independiente Petrolero47%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Academia del Balompié Boliviano28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Independiente Petrolero
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Oct 17 · at Blooming (A)0-0
- Oct 12 · at Club Always Ready (A)0-2
- Sep 18 · v San Antonio Bulo-Bulo (H)1-3
- Sep 13 · at FC Universitario de Vinto (A)1-3
- Sep 6 · v Bolívar (H)0-4
Academia del Balompié Boliviano
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 16 · v Real Potosí (H)0-1
- Oct 10 · at Oriente Petrolero (A)0-1
- Sep 15 · v The Strongest (H)1-2
- Sep 12 · at Blooming (A)1-6
- Sep 4 · v FC Universitario de Vinto (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Independiente Petrolero | Academia del Balompié Boliviano |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 0-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.