Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Wed, Oct 21 · 18:00 · Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve vs San Martin Reserve
Likeliest: Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve win · 51%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve51%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
San Martin Reserve23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve
DrawLossDrawLossWin
- Oct 14 · at Colón Reserve (A)4-1
- Oct 7 · at CD Riestra Reserve (A)1-3
- Sep 30 · v Belgrano Reserve (H)0-0
- Sep 24 · v Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve (H)0-1
- Sep 16 · at Lanús Reserve (A)3-3
San Martin Reserve
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 14 · v CD Riestra Reserve (H)2-0
- Oct 8 · at Belgrano Reserve (A)2-3
- Oct 1 · v Lanús Reserve (H)0-2
- Sep 25 · v Godoy Cruz Reserve (H)0-0
- Sep 17 · at Newell's Old Boys Reserve (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve | San Martin Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-2 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.