Indian Super League (India) · Fri, Oct 23 · 11:30 · Inter Kashi FC vs East Bengal FC
Likeliest: East Bengal FC win · 42%
A 29% home win. The market says 13%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Inter Kashi FC29%13%+16
OursMarket
Draw30%20%+9
OursMarket
East Bengal FC42%67%−25
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 56% | −11 |
| Both teams score | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 33% | +25 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 87% | −16 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 80% | −9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 41% | 16% | +24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter Kashi FC
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Oct 17 · v Odisha FC (H)1-1
- Oct 11 · v Kerala Blasters (H)0-2
- May 21 · v East Bengal (H)1-2
- May 17 · at Sporting Delhi (A)0-0
- May 12 · at ATK Mohun Bagan (A)0-0
East Bengal FC
DrawDrawLossWin
- Oct 18 · at Churchill Brothers SC (A)4-0
- Oct 13 · v Al-Shorta (H)2-3
- Sep 16 · at Al Hussein Irbid (A)2-2
- Aug 12 · v Al-Arabi Kuwait (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Inter Kashi FC | East Bengal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — |
| Clean sheets | 30% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-4 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.