Leagues Cup (North & Central America) · Wed, Aug 12 · 23:30 · Inter Miami CF vs Club León
Likeliest: Inter Miami CF win · 76%
A 76% home win. The market says 57%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Inter Miami CF76%57%+18
OursMarket
Draw15%20%−6
OursMarket
Club León10%22%−12
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 69% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 65% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 90% | 78% | +12 |
| Double chance X2 | 25% | 43% | −18 |
| Double chance 12 | 86% | 80% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 88% | 72% | +16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter Miami CF
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Aug 9 · v CF Monterrey (H)1-2
- Aug 5 · v Atlético San Luis (H)4-2
- Aug 1 · v Columbus Crew (H)2-2
- Jul 25 · at CF Montréal (A)1-0
- Jul 22 · v Chicago Fire (H)3-2
Club León
LossLossWinWinWin
- Aug 8 · at Orlando City SC (A)2-1
- Aug 6 · at Nashville SC (A)1-0
- Aug 2 · v CF Pachuca (H)1-0
- Jul 25 · at Club Tijuana (A)0-1
- Jul 18 · v Atlas FC (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Inter Miami CF | Club León |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-1-1 | 3-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.