Serie A (Italy) · Mon, Feb 10 · 19:45 · Inter vs Fiorentina
Likeliest: Inter win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Inter50%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Fiorentina29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Feb 6 · at Fiorentina (A)0-3
- Feb 2 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Jan 29 · v Monaco (H)3-0
- Jan 26 · at Lecce (A)4-0
- Jan 22 · at Sparta Praha (A)1-0
Fiorentina
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Feb 6 · v Inter (H)3-0
- Feb 2 · v Genoa (H)2-1
- Jan 26 · at Lazio (A)2-1
- Jan 19 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 13 · at Monza (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Inter | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-1 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.