Serie A (Italy) · Wed, Oct 29 · 19:45 · Inter vs Fiorentina
Likeliest: Inter win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Inter63%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Fiorentina18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 25 · at Napoli (A)1-3
- Oct 21 · at Union Saint-Gilloise (A)4-0
- Oct 18 · at Roma (A)1-0
- Oct 4 · v Cremonese (H)4-1
- Sep 30 · v Slavia Praha (H)3-0
Fiorentina
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Oct 26 · v Bologna (H)2-2
- Oct 23 · at SK Rapid (A)3-0
- Oct 19 · at Milan (A)1-2
- Oct 5 · v Roma (H)1-2
- Oct 2 · v Sigma Olomouc (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Inter | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-3 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.