Coppa Italia (Italy) · Tue, Feb 25 · 20:00 · Inter vs Lazio
Likeliest: Inter win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Inter51%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Lazio28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Feb 22 · v Genoa (H)1-0
- Feb 16 · at Juventus (A)0-1
- Feb 10 · v Fiorentina (H)2-1
- Feb 6 · at Fiorentina (A)0-3
- Feb 2 · at Milan (A)1-1
Lazio
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Feb 22 · at Venezia (A)0-0
- Feb 15 · v Napoli (H)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Monza (H)5-1
- Feb 3 · at Cagliari (A)2-1
- Jan 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Inter | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-0 | 2-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.