Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Nov 9 · 19:45 · Inter vs Lazio
Likeliest: Inter win · 71%
A tight one: we make it 71% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Inter71%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Lazio10%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 91% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 29% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 88% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Inter
WinLossWinWinWin
- Nov 5 · v Kairat (H)2-1
- Nov 2 · at Hellas Verona (A)2-1
- Oct 29 · v Fiorentina (H)3-0
- Oct 25 · at Napoli (A)1-3
- Oct 21 · at Union Saint-Gilloise (A)4-0
Lazio
DrawDrawWinDrawWin
- Nov 3 · v Cagliari (H)2-0
- Oct 30 · at Pisa (A)0-0
- Oct 26 · v Juventus (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at Atalanta (A)0-0
- Oct 5 · v Torino (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | Inter | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-0-1 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.