Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 6 · 15:00 · Ipswich Town vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 42%
A 42% away win. The market says 32%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ipswich Town32%41%−9
OursMarket
Draw27%27%−1
OursMarket
Coventry City42%32%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 68% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | 59% | +9 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 73% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | 56% | −13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ipswich Town
WinDrawWinLossDraw
- Dec 2 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
- Nov 28 · at Oxford United (A)1-2
- Nov 25 · at Hull City (A)2-0
- Nov 22 · v Wrexham (H)0-0
- Nov 8 · at Swansea City (A)4-1
Coventry City
WinWinWinWinWin
- Nov 29 · v Charlton Athletic (H)3-1
- Nov 25 · at Middlesbrough (A)4-2
- Nov 22 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-2
- Nov 8 · at Stoke City (A)1-0
- Nov 4 · v Sheffield United (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Ipswich Town | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 9-0-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 6-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.