Premier League (England) · Sun, Jan 19 · 16:30 · Ipswich Town vs Manchester City
Likeliest: Ipswich Town win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ipswich Town40%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Manchester City36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ipswich Town
DrawWinLoss
- Jan 16 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-2
- Jan 12 · v Bristol Rovers (H)3-0
- Jan 5 · at Fulham (A)2-2
Manchester City
WinWinDraw
- Jan 14 · at Brentford (A)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Salford City (H)8-0
- Jan 4 · v West Ham United (H)4-1