Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:00 · Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
Likeliest: Ipswich Town win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ipswich Town47%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Nottingham Forest28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ipswich Town
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Mar 8 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-1
- Feb 26 · at Manchester United (A)2-3
- Feb 22 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)1-4
- Feb 15 · at Aston Villa (A)1-1
- Feb 8 · at Coventry City (A)4-1
Nottingham Forest
WinLossLossDrawWin
- Mar 8 · v Manchester City (H)1-0
- Feb 26 · v Arsenal (H)0-0
- Feb 23 · at Newcastle United (A)3-4
- Feb 15 · at Fulham (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)7-0
| Last 10 games | Ipswich Town | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-0-4 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Ipswich Town form·Nottingham Forest form·Head-to-head record