Championship (England) · Sat, May 2 · 11:30 · Ipswich Town vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Ipswich Town win · 64%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 49%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ipswich Town64%74%−10
OursMarket
Draw19%17%+2
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers17%10%+7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 49% | +10 |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | 90% | −7 |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | 26% | +10 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 83% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | 88% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ipswich Town
LossDrawWinDrawDraw
- Apr 28 · at Southampton (A)2-2
- Apr 25 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-0
- Apr 22 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
- Apr 19 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-2
- Apr 14 · at Portsmouth (A)0-2
Queens Park Rangers
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Apr 25 · v Derby County (H)2-3
- Apr 21 · v Swansea City (H)1-2
- Apr 18 · at Millwall (A)0-2
- Apr 11 · v Bristol City (H)0-0
- Apr 6 · at Preston North End (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Ipswich Town | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-4-0 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Ipswich Town form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record