Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 15:00 · Ipswich Town vs Southampton
Likeliest: Ipswich Town win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ipswich Town52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Southampton23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ipswich Town
DrawWinLossLossLoss
- Jan 25 · at Liverpool (A)1-4
- Jan 19 · v Manchester City (H)0-6
- Jan 16 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-2
- Jan 12 · v Bristol Rovers (H)3-0
- Jan 5 · at Fulham (A)2-2
Southampton
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Jan 25 · v Newcastle United (H)1-3
- Jan 19 · at Nottingham Forest (A)2-3
- Jan 16 · at Manchester United (A)1-3
- Jan 12 · v Swansea City (H)3-0
- Jan 4 · v Brentford (H)0-5
| Last 10 games | Ipswich Town | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-3 | 1-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.